Computed planning guide · Maui
Best Time to Snorkel in Maui: Month-by-Month Historical Conditions
This page compares the same 12-month historical model cohort across every month. It does not use generic travel prose or a seasonal rule of thumb: each row comes from stored HistoricalScoreMonth data.
Highest historical score
June 2026 · 29.2/100
Calmest modelled mornings
October 2025 · 76.8% calm from 6:00–11:00 local time
Coverage: 12/12 historical months · 12/12 with morning-calm data · 1 Oct 2025–30 Sep 2026.
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Maui snorkeling conditions by month
The morning column is the modelled share of valid local 6:00–11:00 hours meeting the calm-water rule. “Morning advantage” is morning calm minus the all-hours calm share, in percentage points. It is a descriptive comparison, not a safety rating.
| Month | Historical score | Morning calm | All-hours calm | Morning advantage | Mean SST | Coverage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| October 2025 | 27.2/100 | 76.8% | 73.8% | 3.0 pp | 27.4°C81.3°F | 31 valid days744 sampled hours |
| November 2025 | 24.4/100 | 54.0% | 51.7% | 2.3 pp | 26.4°C79.5°F | 30 valid days720 sampled hours |
| December 2025 | 24.1/100 | 57.4% | 51.3% | 6.1 pp | 26.0°C78.8°F | 31 valid days744 sampled hours |
| January 2026 | 25.0/100 | 69.7% | 68.3% | 1.4 pp | 25.4°C77.8°F | 31 valid days744 sampled hours |
| February 2026 | 24.1/100 | 31.4% | 30.2% | 1.2 pp | 24.8°C76.7°F | 28 valid days672 sampled hours |
| March 2026 | 23.3/100 | 30.3% | 28.2% | 2.1 pp | 24.6°C76.3°F | 31 valid days744 sampled hours |
| April 2026 | 27.3/100 | 57.3% | 57.4% | 0.0 pp | 25.3°C77.5°F | 30 valid days720 sampled hours |
| May 2026 | 27.3/100 | 12.3% | 10.6% | 1.6 pp | 26.3°C79.4°F | 31 valid days744 sampled hours |
| June 2026 | 29.2/100 | 3.3% | 1.9% | 1.4 pp | 26.8°C80.2°F | 30 valid days720 sampled hours |
| July 2026 | 27.9/100 | 6.5% | 5.4% | 1.1 pp | 27.3°C81.2°F | 31 valid days744 sampled hours |
| August 2026 | 24.7/100 | 21.3% | 21.8% | -0.5 pp | 27.5°C81.6°F | 31 valid days744 sampled hours |
| September 2026 | 23.6/100 | 19.3% | 18.3% | 1.0 pp | 27.9°C82.2°F | 30 valid days720 sampled hours |
Methodology and limitations
- Source cohort: versioned
HistoricalScoreMonthrows only. Captured live forecasts are not substituted for missing historical months. - Historical Score: the stored monthly mean Snorkel Score, shown on a 0–100 scale. The month highlighted above is simply the highest stored monthly score in this window; no extra blended ranking formula is invented for this page.
- Morning calm: percent of valid local 6:00–11:00 hours with significant waves at or below 0.60 m and wind at or below 5.4 m/s. Missing morning data stays missing.
- All-hours calm: the same wave-and-wind rule across all valid hours in the month. A positive morning advantage means the stored mornings were calmer than the month overall.
- Water temperature: modelled monthly mean sea-surface temperature for the same historical cohort. See the linked climate page for the separate multi-year temperature baseline.
- Coverage: a stored historical month must meet the ranking system’s minimum valid-day threshold. Missing months render as incomplete rather than borrowing another year or repeating recent conditions.
- Limits: these are model estimates at a forecast grid point. They do not measure coral health, wildlife, water clarity, beach access, local closures or in-water safety. Conditions still vary by coast and by day.
Scoring profile: historical-v2-2b079fef19289864 · profile hash 2b079fef19289864.
Sources: Open-Meteo Marine API and ERA5 via the Historical Weather API.