Wednesday
⚠️ fair conditions
Main blocker: Waves
Tanzania · Updated Tue 04:14 (EAT) · Source: Snapshot
The skinny
Marginal Report Wed 07:06Mafia Island looks marginal today. The least-bad daylight window is around Thu 18:00, but waves is limiting the forecast.
Score: 4.3/10
Best time: Thu 18:00
Main risk: Waves
Best morning signal: Wed 08:00 (Fair).
Best afternoon signal: Wed 18:00 (Fair). Peak afternoon wind is about 5.5 m/s.
No safe window in the next 72 hours
Use the best-available section for the least-bad times.
Wednesday
⚠️ fair conditions
Main blocker: Waves
Thursday
⚠️ fair conditions
Main blocker: Waves
Friday
❌ poor conditions
Main blocker: Waves
Main blockers across the next 72 hours:
Drift estimate from wind, swell, current and warm water.
Low drift risk now.
warm water supports seasonal jellyfish activity; surface drift/current is noticeable; local shoreline exposure is not mapped yet.
Sightings override the model: if you see small purple jellyfish with long trailing tentacles, treat them as sting-capable and give them space.
Wed 06:00, Thu 07:00, Thu 20:00
Viewing historical data
Thu 04:00 – Sun 04:00 (EAT)
Best snorkel score is 0.29 around Thu 07:00; 0 of 24 hours are good, fair, or excellent.
Score trend, higher is better. Excellent ≥ 0.72, good 0.55–0.72, fair 0.35–0.55.
Tap a chart to load just that series.
0/24 sampled hours stay at or below 0.36m (range 0.94m to 1.34m).
Wind is at or below 5.4m/s in 17/24 sampled hours (range 3.48 to 6.14m/s).
Tides range from -0.36m to 1.38m; 2 of 24 hours are in or near peak slack windows.
We score each hour from 0 to 1 using daylight and these weighted components:
| Time | Wave (m) | Wind (m/s) | Sea temp (°C) | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thu 04:00 | 1.34 · high | 4.50 · good | 26.40 · good | poor |
| Thu 05:00 | 1.32 · high | 5.32 · good | 26.40 · good | poor |
| Thu 06:00 | 1.30 · high | 5.58 · high | 26.40 · good | poor |
| Thu 07:00 | 1.28 · high | 6.02 · high | 26.40 · good | poor |
| Thu 08:00 | 1.26 · high | 6.14 · high | 26.40 · good | poor |
| Thu 09:00 | 1.26 · high | 5.75 · high | 26.40 · good | poor |
| Thu 10:00 | 1.26 · high | 5.66 · high | 26.50 · good | poor |
| Thu 11:00 | 1.24 · high | 5.68 · high | 26.50 · good | poor |
| Thu 12:00 | 1.24 · high | 5.80 · high | 26.50 · good | poor |
| Thu 13:00 | 1.22 · high | 5.40 · good | 26.50 · good | poor |
| Thu 14:00 | 1.18 · high | 5.28 · good | 26.50 · good | poor |
| Thu 15:00 | 1.16 · high | 4.53 · good | 26.50 · good | poor |
| Thu 16:00 | 1.14 · high | 4.39 · good | 26.50 · good | poor |
| Thu 17:00 | 1.14 · high | 4.92 · good | 26.50 · good | poor |
| Thu 18:00 | 1.12 · high | 5.20 · good | 26.50 · good | poor |
| Thu 19:00 | 1.10 · high | 5.01 · good | 26.50 · good | poor |
| Thu 20:00 | 1.06 · high | 4.77 · good | 26.50 · good | poor |
| Thu 21:00 | 1.04 · high | 4.30 · good | 26.40 · good | poor |
| Thu 22:00 | 1.02 · high | 3.98 · good | 26.40 · good | poor |
| Thu 23:00 | 1.00 · high | 4.01 · good | 26.40 · good | poor |
| Fri 00:00 | 0.98 · high | 3.85 · good | 26.40 · good | poor |
| Fri 01:00 | 0.96 · high | 3.58 · good | 26.40 · good | poor |
| Fri 02:00 | 0.96 · high | 3.56 · good | 26.40 · good | poor |
| Fri 03:00 | 0.94 · high | 3.48 · good | 26.40 · good | poor |
| Fri 04:00 | 0.94 · high | 3.22 · good | 26.40 · good | poor |
| Fri 05:00 | 0.92 · high | 3.59 · good | 26.40 · good | poor |
| Fri 06:00 | 0.92 · high | 3.88 · good | 26.40 · good | poor |
| Fri 07:00 | 0.92 · high | 3.83 · good | 26.40 · good | poor |
| Fri 08:00 | 0.90 · high | 3.77 · good | 26.50 · good | poor |
| Fri 09:00 | 0.90 · high | 3.61 · good | 26.50 · good | poor |
| Fri 10:00 | 0.90 · high | 3.50 · good | 26.60 · good | fair |
| Fri 11:00 | 0.90 · high | 3.61 · good | 26.60 · good | fair |
| Fri 12:00 | 0.90 · high | 3.97 · good | 26.60 · good | fair |
| Fri 13:00 | 0.90 · high | 4.01 · good | 26.60 · good | fair |
| Fri 14:00 | 0.88 · high | 4.04 · good | 26.60 · good | fair |
| Fri 15:00 | 0.88 · high | 3.72 · good | 26.60 · good | fair |
| Fri 16:00 | 0.88 · high | 3.43 · good | 26.60 · good | poor |
| Fri 17:00 | 0.88 · high | 3.36 · good | 26.60 · good | poor |
| Fri 18:00 | 0.88 · high | 3.57 · good | 26.60 · good | poor |
| Fri 19:00 | 0.88 · high | 3.37 · good | 26.60 · good | poor |
| Fri 20:00 | 0.88 · high | 3.45 · good | 26.60 · good | poor |
| Fri 21:00 | 0.88 · high | 3.55 · good | 26.50 · good | poor |
| Fri 22:00 | 0.88 · high | 3.22 · good | 26.50 · good | poor |
| Fri 23:00 | 0.88 · high | 3.08 · good | 26.50 · good | poor |
| Sat 00:00 | 0.88 · high | 3.04 · good | 26.50 · good | poor |
| Sat 01:00 | 0.88 · high | 3.11 · good | 26.50 · good | poor |
| Sat 02:00 | 0.88 · high | 3.12 · good | 26.50 · good | poor |
| Sat 03:00 | 0.88 · high | 2.94 · good | 26.50 · good | poor |
| Sat 04:00 | 0.88 · high | 2.83 · good | 26.50 · good | poor |
| Sat 05:00 | 0.90 · high | 3.19 · good | 26.50 · good | poor |
| Sat 06:00 | 0.90 · high | 3.82 · good | 26.50 · good | poor |
| Sat 07:00 | 0.90 · high | 3.86 · good | 26.60 · good | poor |
| Sat 08:00 | 0.88 · high | 3.79 · good | 26.60 · good | poor |
| Sat 09:00 | 0.88 · high | 4.22 · good | 26.60 · good | poor |
| Sat 10:00 | 0.88 · high | 4.23 · good | 26.70 · good | poor |
| Sat 11:00 | 0.86 · high | 4.28 · good | 26.70 · good | poor |
| Sat 12:00 | 0.86 · high | 4.18 · good | 26.70 · good | poor |
| Sat 13:00 | 0.84 · high | 3.94 · good | 26.70 · good | poor |
| Sat 14:00 | 0.84 · high | 4.01 · good | 26.70 · good | poor |
| Sat 15:00 | 0.82 · high | 3.32 · good | 26.70 · good | poor |
| Sat 16:00 | 0.82 · high | 3.19 · good | 26.70 · good | poor |
| Sat 17:00 | 0.82 · high | 3.26 · good | 26.60 · good | poor |
| Sat 18:00 | 0.82 · high | 3.47 · good | 26.60 · good | poor |
| Sat 19:00 | 0.82 · high | 3.68 · good | 26.60 · good | poor |
| Sat 20:00 | 0.82 · high | 3.81 · good | 26.60 · good | poor |
| Sat 21:00 | 0.82 · high | 3.62 · good | 26.60 · good | poor |
| Sat 22:00 | 0.82 · high | 3.54 · good | 26.60 · good | poor |
| Sat 23:00 | 0.82 · high | 3.25 · good | 26.60 · good | poor |
| Sun 00:00 | 0.82 · high | 3.20 · good | 26.60 · good | poor |
| Sun 01:00 | 0.82 · high | 3.27 · good | 26.60 · good | poor |
| Sun 02:00 | 0.82 · high | 2.95 · good | 26.60 · good | poor |
| Sun 03:00 | 0.82 · high | 2.72 · good | 26.60 · good | poor |